Four places the figure collapses in an Armenian programme
The metric fails in predictable ways, and knowing them is faster than discovering them. The four below account for most of the bad numbers that circulate in marketing decks in this market, and each has a specific corrective move.
The giveaway counted as a keep. A giveaway handed out at a stand is consumed by the event and usually leaves the building in a bag that is never opened again. Reporting it on the same denominator as an item that is kept for a year is the most common distortion in the category, and it is the distortion that flatters the programme most, because a large giveaway volume produces a very small cost per impression. The corrective move is to put giveaways in their own line, with their own denominator, and to report them as a separate objective. A stand that produces high volume and low carry-over is a lead-generation activity; describing it as a brand-impression activity sets up a measurement argument that the numbers cannot win.
The currency drift. A figure quoted in dram at quotation and in a converted currency at production, then compared across quarters, is comparing exchange rates as much as programmes. The corrective move is to fix one denomination for the series, state the rate and the date it was taken, and hold that rate constant for comparison purposes even when invoicing moves. A marketing lead who reports a single-quarter figure in a floating denomination is reporting a currency movement and calling it a merchandising result.
The unlisted-audience omission. When a programme distributes to a named list but the items are then shown in offices, at events, and at home, the reported denominator understates reach by a factor the programme cannot defend without saying so. The corrective move is to apply one named secondary convention across the whole series, and to state in the same sentence that the figure is a floor rather than a ceiling. Understating on purpose and labelling it is defensible; understating silently is not.
The single-year comparison. Comparing an Armenian programme against a paid-media benchmark from a different market, a different year, or a different currency is the most tempting and least defensible move, because the benchmark is a number the team did not produce and cannot audit. The corrective move is to build an internal series first — the same programme, the same settings, the same denominators, quarter after quarter — and to use any external benchmark only as a directional note, never as the justification for a budget line.